Donald Tusk is target number one. (WOJTEK RADWANSKI/AFP via Getty Images)

Since Russia invaded Ukraine, Poland’s ruling Law and Justice Party has undergone something of a rebrand. Its leaders, who were once widely derided as populist traditionalists with a taste for authoritarianism, have successfully rebranded themselves on the world stage as resolute trailblazers in the fight against the Kremlin. The brave frontline state has become a model for all of Europe to emulate.
But a leopard never changes its spots. In an attempt to capitalise on all this good will, Poland’s President Andrzej Duda signed a bill into law last week that will establish a commission to root out Kremlin influence in Polish politics. This may sound admirable, except for the fact that there is very little Kremlin meddling to eliminate. Unlike in countries such as Moldova, Hungary or Georgia, Poland’s political landscape is almost entirely united in its opposition to Russia. Far from cracking down on Russian saboteurs, the law is little more than a power play meant to sideline Duda’s political rivals.
Unfortunately for Duda’s party, the world has seen through its ruse. So have the Polish people. Nearly 61% of Poles reportedly disapprove of the commission, according to a recent survey, and on Sunday, an estimated half a million Poles marched through Warsaw in one of the nation’s largest demonstrations since the fall of communism.
They are right to be worried. The ruling party and its allies have made no secret of the fact that they intend to use the commission to target their political opponents. One MP from the Law and Justice’s coalition has admitted that he hoped the commission’s work would put Donald Tusk, the leader of the Polish political opposition, in front of the State Tribunal. Tusk has been targeted by the Law and Justice Party for years for signing a gas deal with Russia in 2010 during his tenure as prime minister.
We’ve seen this type of political persecution before: during the Cold War, US Senator Joseph McCarthy, along with the House Un-American Activities Committee (HUAC), ruined the careers of hundreds of Americans whom they smeared as communist sympathisers without having to levy a single criminal charge against them.
Today, Poland’s commission, as originally proposed, will not even feign transparency. It will be able to carry out its deliberations in secrecy and request access to classified materials from an enormous swathe of the Polish government. The members of the commission will be appointed by the Sejm, the Polish parliament in which the Law and Justice Party’s coalition holds power, and they will be immune from future culpability for their activities as part of the commission. It will also deploy a rather vague definition of what constitutes Russian influence, which could open the door for individuals to be found guilty by association. Perhaps most importantly, its rulings and proceedings will take place without any real judicial oversight, and its final report will likely be handed down in September of this year — less than two months before Poland’s parliamentary elections.
Last Friday, in response to condemnations from the US, the European Union, the Polish opposition and various legal experts, Duda backtracked slightly. He proposed amendments that would, among other things, ban parliamentarians from serving directly on the commission and, crucially, would withdraw a provision allowing the commission to ban alleged offenders from public office for up to 10 years. Yet even without this power, the commission will still wield significant influence over Polish politics and will almost certainly colour the autumn elections.
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