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		<title>air pollution - UnHerd</title>
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					<title>The West is homeless</title>
					<link>https://stage.unherd.com/2022/08/the-west-has-lost-its-home/?edition=us</link>
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						<![CDATA[Paul Kingsnorth]]>
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							<![CDATA[<p><strong>Paul Kingsnorth</strong> is a novelist and essayist. His latest book, <a href="https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/475004/against-the-machine-by-kingsnorth-paul/9780241788400" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><em>Against the Machine,</em></a> is out on 23 September. He also has a Substack: <a href="https://paulkingsnorth.substack.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Abbey of Misrule</a>.</p>
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						<![CDATA[ is a novelist and essayist. His latest book, <a href="https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/475004/against-the-machine-by-kingsnorth-paul/9780241788400" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><em>Against the Machine,</em></a> is out on 23 September. He also has a Substack: <a href="https://paulkingsnorth.substack.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Abbey of Misrule</a>.]]>
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										<pubDate>Thu, 11 Aug 2022 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
					<updated>Fri, 12 Aug 2022 14:35:18 +0000</updated>
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		<category><![CDATA[air pollution]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[family values]]></category>
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					<guid isPermaLink="false">https://old.unherd.com/?p=439688</guid>
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								<![CDATA[We're no longer willing to sacrifice our desires]]>
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<p>I was chatting to the log man as we unloaded chunks of dried beech into my driveway from his trailer. Usually he brings me ash, but ash is becoming harder to find now that ash dieback disease, imported into Ireland from Europe, is killing many of the nation’s trees. Our little home plantation, laid down five or six years ago, is not yet mature enough to keep us going for the whole winter, and we need help to make up the shortfall. So, beech it is this year.</p>
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<p>“Not easy to get it now though,” he said to me, as we threw the logs into the growing pile. “And there’s a lot of demand this year. Everyone’s worried about the winter.” Given the likely lack of Russian gas across Europe, people are getting nervous and stockpiling heating fuel before autumn. We’ve been stocking up on winter logs this way for years. But the log man knows that his days of delivering little loads of cut timber to households like ours are probably numbered.</p>
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<p>“I’ll just keep going till they tell me to stop,” he said. “It’ll happen soon enough.”</p>
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<p>The Irish government is currently campaigning against households which burn turf or wood, the former on the grounds of CO2 emissions, and the latter on the grounds of air quality. As ever, the campaign is driven from Dublin, and mostly takes Dublin sensibilities into account. Rural households in Ireland have been burning turf and wood forever, with little significant impact on “air quality” — or at least, no impact comparable to that which Ireland’s “Celtic Tiger” modernisation has had. Suddenly, though, the media is <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/19c342b4-f34d-4ea5-907e-cfe4fa66b18f?u=39858970" target="_blank" rel="noopener">full</a> of scientists armed with studies demonstrating how getting a fire going in your cottage in winter will lead to cancer and lung disease on a widespread scale.</p>
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<p>This new tilt against household fireplaces is not just an Irish phenomenon: it is suddenly popping up <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/af63f322-e59b-4fee-8075-5586e9557eae?u=39858970" target="_blank" rel="noopener">everywhere</a>. Woodstoves are, curiously, becoming the number one air pollution villain. Never mind mass car use, accelerating air travel or industrial pollution. Never mind the emissions caused by the massive increase in Internet server farms, which within just a few years could be using up an astonishing <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/df9f3d6f-af02-4348-8979-cd5dc42c73ed?u=39858970" target="_blank" rel="noopener">70%</a> of this country’s electricity. These days, if you want to demonstrate your social responsibility, you should be all aboard with the <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/97d38653-2eeb-4f67-b04a-8202243facfe?u=39858970" target="_blank" rel="noopener">abolition of the traditional fireplace</a> and its replacement with “green” alternatives.</p>
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<p>Speaking as a former green myself, I’m not without sympathy for at least part of this argument. The mass burning of <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/ad8499a6-3c67-4d35-a9e3-a0309e1a65d2?u=39858970" target="_blank" rel="noopener">peat in power stations</a> here, for example, has long been an ecological disaster; one which is, thankfully, coming to an end. Many peat bogs in Ireland have been ravaged over the centuries, and some are now being restored for wildlife, and for use as “carbon sinks”. This is certainly no bad thing. Humans recklessly burning anything in sight on a vast scale is not a story to be defended, no matter how hard some are currently trying.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/the-west-needs-to-grow-up/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/the-west-needs-to-grow-up/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/2-10.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/the-west-needs-to-grow-up/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">More from this author</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/the-west-needs-to-grow-up/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>The West needs to grow up</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/the-west-needs-to-grow-up/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Paul Kingsnorth</a></p></div></a></div>
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<p>Something else is happening here, though. The campaign against warming your own house with your own fire is not quite what it claims to be. Sometimes it looks more like a displacement activity, as if a government and a nation which has no interest in actually cutting its consumerist lust down to size is going for an easy target. But it is also something with more symbolism, more mythic meat, than any discussion about “carbon emissions” would suggest. The fireplace, whether our dessicated urban authorities know it or not, has a primal meaning, even in a world as divorced as ours from its roots and from the land.</p>
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<p>In his short essay “Fireside Wisdom”, the uncategorisable John Michell suggested that the “displacement of the hearth or fireplace” from the home was one of the many reasons for the craziness of the modern world which his life had been spent playfully exploring. The fireplace at the centre of the home, he wrote, was both an ancient practicality and a device of “cosmological significance” across cultures and time: “Conversation is directed into the fire while dreams and images are drawn out of it.”</p>
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<p>In the past, the act of sitting staring into the smoky fire with family or neighbours was the genesis of the folk tale and folk song which tied the culture together. Now we stare at digital fires hemmed into boxes manufactured by distant corporations who also tell us our stories. No song we can dream up around a real fireplace can compete with what these boxed fires can sell us. “Thus,” wrote Michell, “the traditional cosmology is no longer represented by its domestic symbols, and a new, secular, restless, uncentred world-view has taken its place.”</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/how-the-left-fell-for-capitalism/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/how-the-left-fell-for-capitalism/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/GettyImages-1202363961-copy-scaled.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/how-the-left-fell-for-capitalism/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">More from this author</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/how-the-left-fell-for-capitalism/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>How the Left fell for capitalism</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/how-the-left-fell-for-capitalism/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Paul Kingsnorth</a></p></div></a></div>
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<p>Focus, Michell explained, is “the Latin name for the central fireplace. The fire not only warms but, as a symbol, illuminates the corresponding images of a centre to each of our own beings and of a world-centre which is divine, eternal and unchanging.” Lose your fires, and you literally lose your focus as a culture. In this context, a government spokesman telling his population, as one minister here recently did, that they should “get over” their “nostalgic” attachment to the hearth fire and install ground source heat pumps instead is more than just a nod to efficiency. It is an assault on what remains of the home and its meaning. It is an attack on the cultural — even the divine — centre.</p>
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<p>Not that you will get very far explaining that to your local MP.</p>
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<p>“Not everyone can afford one of these fancy ground source pumps,” said the log man, as we emptied the last of the trailer. He was right, of course, and many of my neighbours, who at this time of year are hauling tractor trailers full of dried turf back from the bog, would be just as dismissive of the new dispensation. But this is not the real significance of the dying out of the household fire. The real significance is that it represents just the latest blow against the home as the centre of the universe: of the domestic as the cosmological, of the parlour as the place of story.</p>
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<p>When you can no longer grow your own wood or cut your own turf to heat your own parlour, you are made that little bit more dependent on the matrix of government, technology and commerce that has sought to transmute self-sufficiency into bondage since the time of the <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/23592a30-3f10-4c54-97bc-e2cfc66e0bf9?u=39858970" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Luddites</a>. The justification for this attack on family and community sufficiency changes with the times — in 17th-century England, the enclosures were justified by the need for agricultural efficiency; today they are justified by the need for energy efficiency — but the attack is always of the same nature. Each blow struck against local self-sufficiency, pride and love of place weaves another thread into the pattern which has been developing for centuries, and which is almost complete now in most affluent countries.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/05/the-anti-christ-now-rules-us-all/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/05/the-anti-christ-now-rules-us-all/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/2GettyImages-1188134456-scaled-e1653654770239.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/05/the-anti-christ-now-rules-us-all/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">More from this author</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/05/the-anti-christ-now-rules-us-all/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>The Anti-Christ now rules us all</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/05/the-anti-christ-now-rules-us-all/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Paul Kingsnorth</a></p></div></a></div>
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<p>Wendell Berry’s 1980 essay “Family Work” is a short meditation on the meaning of home, its disintegration under the pressures of modernity, and how it might, to some degree at least, be restored. Like so much of Berry’s work, it locates the centrepoint of human society in the home, and explains many of the failures of contemporary Western — specifically American — society as a neglect of that truth. The home, to Wendell Berry, is the place where the real stuff of life happens, or should: the coming-together of man and woman in partnership; the passing-down of skills and stories from elders; the raising and educating of children; the growing, cooking, storing and eating of food; the learning of practical skills, from construction to repair, tool-making to sewing; the conjuration of story and song around the fire.</p>
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<p>In my lifetime, in my part of the world, the notion and meaning of ‘home’ has steadily crumbled under external pressure until it is little more than a word. The ideal (post)modern home is a dormitory, probably owned by a landlord or a bank, in which two or more people of varying ages and degrees of biological relationship sleep when they’re not out being employed by a corporation, or educated by the state in preparation for being employed by a corporation. The home’s needs are met through pushing buttons, swiping screens or buying-in everything from food to furniture; for who has time for anything else, or has been taught the skills to do otherwise?</p>
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<p>Even back in 1980, Berry recognised that the home had become an “ideal” rather than a practical reality — precisely because the reality had been placed out of reach for many. What killed the home? Three things, said Berry: cars, mass media and public education. The first meant that both work and leisure could, for the first time in history, happen a long way from home. The second — “TV and other media” — have played a role, since the mid-20th century, in luring us all into a fantasy world of freedom from obligation, and a limitless, fun consumer lifestyle. “If you have a TV,” writes Berry, “your children will be subjected almost from the cradle to an overwhelming insinuation that all worth experiencing is somewhere else and that all worth having must be bought.” Finally, the school system is designed “to keep children away from the home as much as possible. Parents want their children kept out of their hair.” Schools exist to train children to fit into individualistic, consumer societies; to internalise and normalise their ethics and goals, and to prepare for a life serving their needs.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/02/the-liberal-order-is-already-dead/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/02/the-liberal-order-is-already-dead/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/2GettyImages-1225679103-1.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/02/the-liberal-order-is-already-dead/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">More from this author</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/02/the-liberal-order-is-already-dead/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>The liberal order is already dead</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/02/the-liberal-order-is-already-dead/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Paul Kingsnorth</a></p></div></a></div>
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<p>What could we add to this list now? Supermarkets, for one, and the whole panoply of long-distance shopping and global supply chains that go along with them. Back in 1980, it can’t have been common to buy avocadoes in winter in the northern hemisphere, let alone endless streams of screen-based gadgets put together by slave labour in China.</p>
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<p>We could add “careers” too: and perhaps this is the main culprit. What the Luddites called the “factory system” (we should maybe call it the “office system” now that all the factories have been shipped off to China) was the main reason that the home was broken into in the first place. The pre-modern home was, as few homes are today, a workplace. The Luddites, to stick to my example, were handloom weavers running literal cottage industries, and their rebellion against the rise of industrial capitalism was a rebellion in defence of the home as a place of work as well as domesticity. That work was shared by men and women, who would both have their domestic spheres of influence whatever the particular business of the home was.</p>
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<p>In this sense there is a case to be made that the pre-modern woman, working in her home with her husband and family, had in some ways more agency and power than her contemporary counterpart whose life is directed from outside the home by distant commercial interests. Certainly the feminist movement, in at least some of its iterations, has been thoroughly hijacked by capitalism. The &#8220;liberation&#8221; of women has often translated into the separating of women from their self-sufficiency, as men were separated before them, and their embedding instead into the world of commerce, whether they want it or not.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/the-fate-of-europe-lies-in-the-steppes/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/the-fate-of-europe-lies-in-the-steppes/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/2GettyImages-526987726-scaled-1.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/the-fate-of-europe-lies-in-the-steppes/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">More from this series</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/the-fate-of-europe-lies-in-the-steppes/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>The fate of Europe lies in the steppes</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/the-fate-of-europe-lies-in-the-steppes/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Aris Roussinos</a></p></div></a></div>
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<p>My point is not that women should get back into the kitchen: it is that we all should. Modernity prised the men away from the home first, as the industrial revolution broke their cottage industries and swept them into the factories and mines, where their brute strength could be useful. Later the women, who had been mostly left to tend the home single-handedly, were subject to the same process. The needs of business were sold to both sexes as a project of &#8220;liberation&#8221; from home, family and place.</p>
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<p>The reason this happened is clear enough. Making a home requires both men and women to sacrifice their own desires for that of the wider family — but this kind of sacrifice does not feed the monster. Only by unmooring the human being from his or her roots in community and place can the emancipated individual consumer and self-creator be born. Only by promoting the fulfilment of individual desire as the meaning of a human life, can the selflessness that we once prized as a cultural ideal be transmuted into the selfishness that capitalism needs to thrive.<a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/how-the-left-fell-for-capitalism/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> Liberation and profit</a>, as ever, prove a seamless fit.</p>
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<p>Maybe this is all misplaced nostalgia; or at least, the shutting of the stable door long after the horse has been turned into dogmeat. Perhaps people leave homes, or don’t make them, because they just don’t want them much anymore. Maybe we are all loving our liberation. When I was a teenager, I certainly wanted to escape my family and its values — and I did in the end. But I suppose I always assumed there would be something to come back to. That I in my turn would grow up to be the thing that was pushed out of the way so that the world could be opened up before the young. This is how it should be, after all.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/08/the-timeless-beauty-of-novalis/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/08/the-timeless-beauty-of-novalis/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/GettyImages-50611798-scaled-e1659365174579-1024x627-1.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/08/the-timeless-beauty-of-novalis/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">More from this series</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/08/the-timeless-beauty-of-novalis/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>The timeless beauty of Novalis</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/08/the-timeless-beauty-of-novalis/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Salley Vickers </a></p></div></a></div>
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<p>But I wonder if we can make those assumptions now. I wonder especially if young people can. How does it feel to grow up in a society whose young can barely afford anywhere to live, let alone dream of owning a family home? With a generational fear of the future which leads increasing numbers <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/93492039-0904-4334-9d00-67b0a5c5d1e6?u=39858970" target="_blank" rel="noopener">not to want families at all</a>? With everything pointing, always, towards <em>movement away</em>, towards <em>not looking back</em>, towards <em>progress</em>? I don’t know, but I know it’s not easy.</p>
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<p>The loss of the security of a home is, in some way, the loss of the heart of things. But also — and here comes the good news — the war against home manifests on the human scale, which means we can reverse it, at least to some degree, under our own steam. In these times, any blow struck for the survival, or the revival, of the home and the family is an act of resistance and of rebuilding.</p>
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<p>Back in 1980, Wendell Berry ended his essay by suggesting some actions that could be taken in this direction. As well as the obvious — “get rid of the television set” took pride of place — he suggested that we should “try to make our homes centres of attention and interest”; to make them as productive and nurturing as we can. Once you rid yourself of the propaganda of the corporate media-entertainment complex (“a vacuum line, pumping life and meaning out of the household”), you will see new possibilities begin to open up. You will see, in Berry’s words, that “no life and no place is destitute; all have possibilities of productivity and pleasure, rest and work, solitude and conviviality that belong particularly to themselves”, whether in the country, the city or the suburb. “All that is necessary,” he suggests, is “the time and the inner quietness to look for them.”</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/peter-thiel-on-the-dangers-of-progress/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/peter-thiel-on-the-dangers-of-progress/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/2-7-e1671102377388.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/peter-thiel-on-the-dangers-of-progress/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">Suggested reading</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/peter-thiel-on-the-dangers-of-progress/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>Peter Thiel on the dangers of progress</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2022/07/peter-thiel-on-the-dangers-of-progress/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Mary Harrington</a></p></div></a></div>
</div>
<div>
<p>The “all” in that sentence is doing quite a lot of work — more than ever, perhaps, 40 years on. Time and inner quietness are hard to find, now; but perhaps they always were. Even so, they are worth searching out. Home work is, perhaps, the most important work of all, and it will certainly teach you things. Since we moved to our place eight years ago, I’ve learned — sometimes from choice, sometimes from necessity — a whole suite of new skills, from construction to tree planting, chicken-keeping to breadmaking, hedging to unblocking drains. I’ve learned how to know my neighbours properly, how to stay in a place and begin to really understand it. The choice to homeschool our children has changed our lives and theirs. Certainly our children, in their early- and nearly-teens, are more self-sufficient already than I was by the age of about 25.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>Home-making, it turns out, is not something to flee from in pursuit of freedom, as I wanted to do when I was younger. It is a skill, or a whole set of them: a set I have come to value maybe above anything else I do. I am still not very good at it; but even so I feel, on my best days, that I could walk with some of my ancestors and be recognised by them as a fully-qualified human being. Maybe this will turn out to be my greatest achievement, in the end.</p>
</div>
<p><i>A longer version of this essay first appeared at </i><a href="https://paulkingsnorth.substack.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><span class="s6"><i>The Abbey of Misrule</i></span></a>.</p>
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					<title>How the West is winning Chinese talent</title>
					<link>https://stage.unherd.com/2019/10/whats-causing-the-chinese-brain-drain/?edition=us</link>
											<comments>https://stage.unherd.com/2019/10/whats-causing-the-chinese-brain-drain/?edition=us#respond</comments>
										<unherd:featured_image>https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/GettyImages-678484936.jpg?w=509</unherd:featured_image>
										<unherd:main_theme></unherd:main_theme>
					<dc:creator>
						<![CDATA[Peter Franklin]]>
					</dc:creator>
					<unherd:creator_img>https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/Peter-F.jpg?w=96</unherd:creator_img>
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							<![CDATA[Are people leaving China in search of better living conditions? Credit: Kevin Frayer/Getty Images]]>
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						<unherd:twitter_bio>
							<![CDATA[<p><strong>Peter Franklin</strong> is Associate Editor of <em>UnHerd</em>. He was previously a policy advisor and speechwriter on environmental and social issues.</p>
]]>
						</unherd:twitter_bio>
						<unherd:twitter_handle>peterfranklin_</unherd:twitter_handle>
															<unherd:author_bio>
						<![CDATA[ is Associate Editor of <em>UnHerd</em>. He was previously a policy advisor and speechwriter on environmental and social issues.]]>
					</unherd:author_bio>
										<pubDate>Sun, 06 Oct 2019 23:02:34 +0000</pubDate>
					<updated>Mon, 07 Oct 2019 14:09:44 +0000</updated>
							<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[air pollution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Artificial intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brexit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UnPacked]]></category>
					<guid isPermaLink="false">http://old.unherd.com/?p=22613</guid>
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								<![CDATA[Since the world's most talented individuals can work anywhere they like, Brexit Britain must strive to attract them]]>
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								<![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m going to begin with a big assumption — which is that there won&#8217;t be a robot rebellion and that humans will stay in control of their artificially intelligent creations.</p>
<p>That still leaves a big question: <em>which</em> humans? Because, just like any world-changing technology, ownership and control of AI is not evenly distributed.</p>
<p>For at least 200 years, westerners have rather smugly assumed that <em>we&#8217;ll</em> be the ones calling the shots. Indeed, any instance of another culture gaining a technological edge has always been seen as a crisis — think of the Soviets and spaceflight in the 1950s, the Arab world and the oil industry in the 1970s, or the Japanese and consumer electronics in the 1980s. In every case, the West (well, the Americans) responded with a major effort to regain the initiative.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2018/03/race-become-ai-superpower-europe-losing-china-america/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2018/03/race-become-ai-superpower-europe-losing-china-america/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/GettyImages-629391430.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2018/03/race-become-ai-superpower-europe-losing-china-america/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">Suggested reading</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2018/03/race-become-ai-superpower-europe-losing-china-america/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>In the race to become the AI superpower, Europe is losing to China and America</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2018/03/race-become-ai-superpower-europe-losing-china-america/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Peter Franklin</a></p></div></a></div>
<p>Today, it&#8217;s China that presents the most formidable challenge — not least in the field of artificial intelligence. Last year, I wrote about<a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2018/03/race-become-ai-superpower-europe-losing-china-america/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"> the Chinese government&#8217;s impressive AI strategy</a>, which will give America a run for its money and which leaves European efforts in the dust.</p>
<p>Last month, I unpacked a report by Karen Hao about <a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/09/how-to-get-personal-tuition-for-every-child/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">China&#8217;s widespread use of advanced educational software in the classroom</a> — i.e. the use of artificial intelligence to boost human intelligence. If you&#8217;re at all interested in the future of education — and the radical changes that Al could bring about — then I&#8217;d urge you to read <a href="https://www.technologyreview.com/s/614057/china-squirrel-has-started-a-grand-experiment-in-ai-education-it-could-reshape-how-the/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Hao&#8217;s report</a> for <em>MIT Technology Review</em>.</p>
<p>And yet, in a <a href="https://www.technologyreview.com/f/614092/china-ai-domination-losing-talent-to-us/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">blog post</a> on the same site, Hao highlights a major impediment to the Chinese quest for global AI supremacy: a brain drain. Drawing on <a href="https://macropolo.org/chinas-ai-talent-base-is-growing-and-then-leaving/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">research</a> from the <a href="https://macropolo.org" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">MacroPolo</a> think tank, she notes that efforts to expand its AI expertise are succeeding, up to a point:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;The report analyzed the authorship of papers accepted to NeurIPS, one of the most prestigious international AI conferences, and found a nearly tenfold increase in the number of authors who did their undergraduate studies in China over the last decade. Whereas there were only around 100 Chinese researchers in 2009, accounting for 14% of the total number of authors, there were nearly 1,000 in 2018, accounting for a quarter.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Taking their cue from the government&#8217;s strategy, Chinese universities are training up the AI specialists on which future progress depends. But here&#8217;s the kicker:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Roughly three-quarters of the Chinese authors in the study currently work outside China, and 85% of those work in the US—either at tech giants like Google and IBM or universities like UCLA and the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Now, it may be that China has a whole load of other super-geeks working on AI projects whose results aren&#8217;t being shared through international conferences and open publications. Nevertheless, it&#8217;s easy to see why the big US universities and tech companies might be in a position to recruit China&#8217;s top talent — they can pay top dollar for it. Indeed, Hao notes that part of China&#8217;s AI strategy is to lure &#8220;top scientists back home with competitive compensation packages&#8221;.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/04/why-the-matrix-needs-humans/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/04/why-the-matrix-needs-humans/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/MatrixTA-BA82EK-1.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/04/why-the-matrix-needs-humans/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">Suggested reading</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/04/why-the-matrix-needs-humans/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>Why the Matrix needs humans</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/04/why-the-matrix-needs-humans/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Peter Franklin</a></p></div></a></div>
<p>But it&#8217;s not just about the money. The West can offer other inducements that China can&#8217;t. For a start there&#8217;s the sweet air of freedom — and, for that matter, the sweet air of a comparatively unpolluted living environment.</p>
<p>Back in March, in a widely syndicated AFP article, Catherine Lai and Ruchika Chitravanshi wrote about <a href="https://phys.org/news/2019-03-asia-pollution-exodus-firms-struggle.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">the impact that air quality is having on recruitment and retention in Asian cities</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;According to the United Nations Environment Programme, some 92 percent of people in the Asia-Pacific region are exposed to levels of air pollution that pose a significant risk to health.</p>
<p>&#8220;This means that on top of large salaries, businesses are having to offer extra incentives.</p>
<p>&#8220;These include paying for smog breaks every few months, or allowing non-traditional working arrangements so people can commute from less polluted areas, says Lee Quane, Asia director for consultancy ECA International.</p>
<p>&#8220;At &#8216;a location with a higher level of pollution, you&#8217;re likely to see us recommend allowances of anywhere between 10 to 20 percent of the person&#8217;s base salary,&#8217; he says.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>If &#8216;pollution premiums&#8217; and &#8216;environmental hardship allowances&#8217; are necessary to persuade Westerners to work in China, then it seems reasonable to assume that our (relatively) breathable air is helping to recruit Chinese talent to the West.</p>
<p>According to Wolfgang Georg Arlt in <a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/profdrwolfganggarlt/2017/01/05/chinese-online-travel-agency-publishes-haze-travel-list/#3cc7646150dc" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><em>Forbes</em></a> magazine, smog-avoidance has become a major factor in Chinese domestic and international tourism:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Based on booking statistics, [China&#8217;s largest online travel site Ctrip] reckons that December 2016 saw more than 150,000 Chinese travel abroad specifically to escape air pollution, proving that the search for fresh air has become a major push factor in China’s outbound tourism.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>But as well as paying to travel to the breathable West, Chinese workers increasingly have the option of being paid to live there.</p>
<p>Strict environmental regulations are sometimes condemned as a threat to our economic competitiveness. But in a globalised knowledge economy, in which those with the most valuable knowledge and experience can choose to live anywhere they like, compromising on quality of life may prove to be a massive own goal.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/08/boris-should-make-britain-beautiful-again/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/08/boris-should-make-britain-beautiful-again/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/GettyImages-459764728.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/08/boris-should-make-britain-beautiful-again/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">Suggested reading</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/08/boris-should-make-britain-beautiful-again/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>Boris should make Britain beautiful again</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/08/boris-should-make-britain-beautiful-again/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Peter Franklin</a></p></div></a></div>
<p>There&#8217;s a lesson here for Brexit Britain. Breaking free from EU control should not be seen as an opportunity to join a race to the bottom. There are those who’d love to take an axe to our environmental and animal welfare regulations, not to mention workers’ rights. They must be resisted, and not only on moral grounds.</p>
<p>Instead, we should make the most of our natural, historical and cultural riches and establish this country as one of the very best places to live on Earth – the cleanest, greenest and safest of all the major economies.</p>
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					<title>Our toxic pollution paranoia</title>
					<link>https://stage.unherd.com/2019/06/how-deadly-is-air-pollution/?edition=us</link>
											<comments>https://stage.unherd.com/2019/06/how-deadly-is-air-pollution/?edition=us#comments</comments>
										<unherd:featured_image>https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/GettyImages-503926744.jpg?w=525</unherd:featured_image>
										<unherd:main_theme></unherd:main_theme>
					<dc:creator>
						<![CDATA[Tom Chivers]]>
					</dc:creator>
					<unherd:creator_img>https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/chivers.jpg?w=96</unherd:creator_img>
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							<![CDATA[Breathe easy: Legislation to reduce air pollution appears to have worked. Getty]]>
						</unherd:image_caption>
						<unherd:twitter_bio>
							<![CDATA[<p><strong>Tom Chivers</strong> is a science writer. His second book, <em>How to Read Numbers</em>, is out now.</p>
]]>
						</unherd:twitter_bio>
						<unherd:twitter_handle>TomChivers</unherd:twitter_handle>
															<unherd:author_bio>
						<![CDATA[ is a science writer. His second book, <em>How to Read Numbers</em>, is out now.]]>
					</unherd:author_bio>
										<pubDate>Thu, 27 Jun 2019 06:00:26 +0000</pubDate>
					<updated>Wed, 16 Oct 2019 11:37:12 +0000</updated>
							<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[air pollution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BBC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[electric cars]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Environmental Research Letters]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Evening Standard]]></category>
					<guid isPermaLink="false">http://old.unherd.com/?p=20637</guid>
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								<![CDATA[This is not the Great Smog of 1952]]>
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								<![CDATA[<p>Everyone is freaking out about air pollution at the moment. Particulates, nitrogen oxide, sulphur dioxide, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/jun/13/revealed-uk-government-failing-to-tackle-rise-of-ammonia-serious-air-pollutant">ammonia</a>. Diesel fumes. Buses on Oxford Street. Schools in London apparently <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-48747402">handing out backpacks that measure air pollution</a>, like Geiger counters on recovery workers after a nuclear disaster. Is it giving you cancer, is it giving you cardiovascular problems, are women <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/jun/25/air-pollution-may-affect-number-of-eggs-ovaries-can-produce?utm_term=Autofeed&amp;CMP=twt_gu&amp;utm_medium=&amp;utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1561477458" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">producing fewer eggs</a>, is it making you <a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/health-fitness/body/air-pollution-ruining-memory/">lose your memory</a>?</p>
<p>And it’s getting worse, apparently. The “death risk from London’s toxic air” – steady on, now – “sees ‘utterly horrifying’ rise for second year running”, <a href="https://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/death-risk-from-londons-toxic-air-sees-utterly-horrifying-rise-for-second-year-running-a4167216.html?utm_medium=Social&amp;utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1560670140">shrieked</a> the <em>Evening Standard</em> a week or two ago. According to the paper, the “rate of fatalities linked to breathing in killer particles went up from 6.4 per cent to 6.5 per cent in 2017”, having gone up from 5.6% to 6.4% in the previous year.</p>
<p>Which sounded very strange to me. Because, firstly, that figure seemed very high. If one person in every 15 died from air pollution, I think we’d know about it. Second, I thought that the air was, in general, getting cleaner.</p>
<p>Luckily for me, <a href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab1542">a new paper is out</a> in the journal Environmental Research Letters which helps make sense of it all. I popped along to a briefing on it on this week.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2017/10/people-die-economy-grows/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2017/10/people-die-economy-grows/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/essex_oil_refinery.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2017/10/people-die-economy-grows/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">Suggested reading</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2017/10/people-die-economy-grows/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>Why more people die as the economy grows</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2017/10/people-die-economy-grows/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Peter Franklin</a></p></div></a></div>
<p>The paper looked at the health impacts of air pollution with a snapshot every 10 years, starting in 1970 and ending in 2010. It found that for the main pollutants – sulphur dioxide (SO<sub>2</sub>), nitrogen dioxide (NO<sub>2</sub>), and particulate matter smaller than 2.5 micrometers (PM2.5) – things are a lot better.</p>
<p>Emissions have consistently dropped for SO<sub>2</sub> and PM2.5, while emissions of NO<sub>2</sub> rose slightly until 1990 and have dropped to well below 1970 levels since. Only about 55% of UK air pollution is directly linked to UK emissions (the rest is mainly from nearby countries), but still, the same pattern is visible. This pattern is not true for ozone, which got worse until 2000 and has declined a bit since, but that’s a smaller contributor.</p>
<p>And it has had an effect on public health. Using the same metric that the <em>Evening Standard</em>’s story used, the “percentage of fatalities linked to” PM2.5 in 1970 was about 12; in 2010 it was more like five. Similar drops are seen in deaths linked to NO<sub>2</sub> and SO<sub>2</sub>.</p>
<p>The paper links this, convincingly in my mind, to air pollution control policies, in the UK, at European level, and internationally, such as the 1997 National Air Quality Strategy and the European vehicle manufacturing standards that were issued in the 1990s. Stephan Reis, one of the authors, pointed out that, in the 1970s, German manufacturers used to build cleaner cars to export to California, where the regulations were stricter, and sell more polluting ones in the domestic market.</p>
<p>Still, though, 5% of all deaths caused by particulate pollution alone sounds pretty bad, right? And that’s only one contributor, albeit the biggest. When you add in NO<sub>2</sub> (about 3%) and ozone (about 2%) it gets even worse – 10% of all deaths caused by air pollution!</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/05/what-do-conservatives-want-to-conserve/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/05/what-do-conservatives-want-to-conserve/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/GettyImages-1132969829.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/05/what-do-conservatives-want-to-conserve/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">Suggested reading</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/05/what-do-conservatives-want-to-conserve/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>Trust conservatives to save the planet</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2019/05/what-do-conservatives-want-to-conserve/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Giles Fraser</a></p></div></a></div>
<p>Except, of course, you can’t add them up like that. That’s not how it works. What they’re reporting is the &#8216;attributable fraction of mortality&#8217;, or AF. The AF is <a href="https://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/metrics_paf/en/">a statistical measure</a> that describes “the proportional reduction in population disease or mortality that would occur if exposure to a risk factor were reduced to an alternative ideal exposure scenario”.</p>
<p>Insofar as I understand, it’s essentially relative risk, but in reverse – it’s saying, if you took this factor away, cleaned the air perfectly, how much would the annual mortality rate go down by? Which is an interesting question, but it’s not the same as “this causes 5% of all deaths”.</p>
<p>The risks overlap. So, if you added all the possible contributing factors of death together (smoking, ageing, obesity, diabetes, stress, car crashes, murder, meteorite strikes, Godzilla, whatever) it might add up to many thousands. It’s a very widely used and accepted metric, but I really don’t like it, because I think that when you give percentages, they should add up to 100. Otherwise people will hear “air pollution kills 6% of people”, which I’d say it definitely doesn’t. It contributes to 6% of deaths, but that’s not the same thing.</p>
<p>According to Sotiris Vardoulakis, one of the authors of the Environmental Research Letters paper, the effect of air pollution is roughly equivalent to, on average, a six-month reduction in the national average lifespan. Last year, a professor of respiratory medicine <a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/p04hxmrg">told BBC More or Less</a> that in London, that figure is about nine months. Which is quite a big deal! And, of course, it won’t be evenly spread: some will see smaller effects, while some, especially those with preexisting lung conditions, are likely to suffer much worse.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2017/11/10-barrel-oil-age-electric-car-closer-think/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2017/11/10-barrel-oil-age-electric-car-closer-think/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/Electric-car-plug-in-Marc-TirlDPAPA-Images.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2017/11/10-barrel-oil-age-electric-car-closer-think/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">Suggested reading</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2017/11/10-barrel-oil-age-electric-car-closer-think/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>$10 a barrel for oil? The age of the electric car is closer than you think</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2017/11/10-barrel-oil-age-electric-car-closer-think/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Michael Liebreich</a></p></div></a></div>
<p>But, for context, the <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/27798605?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents">AF caused by smoking in 2005</a> was 19% (27% among men). That’s not among the 25% of Britons who were smokers – that’s for the whole population. Obesity and alcohol are both significantly larger contributors as well. Vardoulakis pointed out that air pollution is the largest environmental factor, and it’s certainly not negligible, but “London’s toxic air” is getting a bit carried away. I’m concerned that over-fretting about it will stop people from doing things which definitely are good for you, like cycling, because they’re worried about particulates or nitrogen dioxide.</p>
<p>And there’s another point. This is a good news story! Legislation to reduce air pollution appears to have worked. People have had to bear some part of the burden of that regulation, either through increased costs or through bans on products, but it appears that we are all significantly healthier because of it. If we then all kick off and complain that our air is toxic and we’re all dying of the black lung – which we’re not; this is not <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Smog_of_London">the Great Smog of 1952 </a>– then people might, understandably, feel that we’ve been wasting a lot of time and effort regulating all this stuff.</p>
<p>Air pollution is bad. That’s fine, we can all agree about that. And we all want a future world of electric cars powered by offshore wind, and London air that smells like primrose and freshly cut grass rather than piss and diesel. And maybe we’ll get it one day. But in the meantime, let’s have a little perspective: things are getting better, we’re all living longer, and it’s not going to kill you if you go outside and go for a run.</p>
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