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		<title>Gulf War - UnHerd</title>
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		<description>think again</description>
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					<title>America&#8217;s forgotten Powell Doctrine</title>
					<link>https://stage.unherd.com/2021/10/americas-forgotten-powell-doctrine/?edition=us</link>
											<comments>https://stage.unherd.com/2021/10/americas-forgotten-powell-doctrine/?edition=us#comments</comments>
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					<dc:creator>
						<![CDATA[Edward Luttwak]]>
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							<![CDATA[It was Powell who righted the ship after the Gulf War (Photo by Rick Maiman/Sygma via Getty Images)]]>
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							<![CDATA[<p><strong>Professor Edward Luttwak</strong> is a strategist and historian known for his works on grand strategy, geoeconomics, military history, and international relations.</p>
]]>
						</unherd:twitter_bio>
						<unherd:twitter_handle>ELuttwak</unherd:twitter_handle>
															<unherd:author_bio>
						<![CDATA[ is a strategist and historian known for his works on grand strategy, geoeconomics, military history, and international relations.]]>
					</unherd:author_bio>
										<pubDate>Sat, 23 Oct 2021 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
					<updated>Wed, 27 Oct 2021 13:50:33 +0000</updated>
							<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bronx]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colin Powell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Don't miss]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gulf War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iraq War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Security Council]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ronald Reagan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roosevelt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Saddam Hussein]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White house]]></category>
					<guid isPermaLink="false">https://old.unherd.com/?p=245490</guid>
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								<![CDATA[The man I knew refused to be defined by racism]]>
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								<![CDATA[<p style="font-weight: 400;">When Colin Powell strode into my small room across from the &#8220;immediate office&#8221; of Secretary of Defence Caspar Weinberger and asked me what I was up to, I told him that I was trying to rescue the Art of War from bureaucracy. His response was typically sarcastic: this must have been in 1985, when he was a two-star Major General serving as Weinberger&#8217;s Military Assistant, tasked with averting, or absorbing, the bigger civilian-military frictions within the Pentagon — as well as the occasional outright fight, too.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Weinberger was a Right-wing Republican who worked for another, Ronald Reagan, and even in those days Right-wing Republicans were automatically written off as racists. But I never detected the slightest bit of discomfort in Powell&#8217;s demeanour, perhaps because neither Weinberger nor Reagan had any doubts about his ability: after leaving the Pentagon for a career-required Corps command once he was promoted to Lieutenant-General, Powell was summoned back to Washington by Reagan to serve as his National Security Advisor. That Powell was the first black man to run the &#8220;inter-agency&#8221; National Security Council was not much mentioned at the time, as far as I can recall, except perhaps in the vernacular press that I do not read.</p>
<p>More important was the impossible job at hand: in the aftermath of the Iran-Contra affair, Reagan’s entire presidency was in question. To outsiders who did not know any better, senility seemed the most charitable explanation for the President’s active support for an insane caper that ended at Tehran&#8217;s airport — and which could have left a very senior US official in Iranian custody.</p>
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<p>His predecessor Carlucci, under Chief of Staff  Howard Baker, ex Senate Majority Leader no less, stopped the shipwreck, but it was Powell who righted the ship along with Reagan himself, and to such good effect that the faithful Reaganauts who had been plotting a backdoor exit from the White House for their hero when the scandal exploded suddenly found themselves discussing the possibility of the first third-term President since Roosevelt: Reagan&#8217;s ascent in the public opinion polls was astounding.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The famous Powell doctrine enunciated in 1991, on the eve of the Gulf War, weas that if the US goes to war, it must not play &#8220;controlled escalation&#8221; games as it did, disastrously, in Vietnam. If force had to be used, it was best used on the largest possible scale, to quickly end the war rather than start it.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/09/joe-biden-was-right-all-along/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/09/joe-biden-was-right-all-along/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/2GettyImages-1235250725-scaled-1.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/09/joe-biden-was-right-all-along/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">More from this author</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/09/joe-biden-was-right-all-along/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>Joe Biden was right all along</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/09/joe-biden-was-right-all-along/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Edward Luttwak</a></p></div></a></div>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">But there was also an undeclared Powell doctrine, not for the nation but for himself: prejudice exists; but if it can only be inferred because it is not visibly enacted, just ignore it. Do not sacrifice your own advancement to try to re-educate the malevolent and the ignorant; do not start a scandal that will only exacerbate the problem.</p>
<p>When his boss, Caspar Weinberger, complained in a Senate Hearing that the Senators were ignoring his own Secretarial advice and listening instead to the strategic lucubrations of a &#8220;PhD with a foreign accent&#8221; — he was referring to me, testifying about my book <a href="https://www.foreignaffairs.com/reviews/capsule-review/1985-03-01/pentagon-and-art-war" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><em>The Pentagon and the Art of War</em> </a>in a debate about the 1987 Defense Reorganization Act the book called for — Powell told me not to <em>kvetch</em> (he grew up with Yiddish speakers in the Bronx). Just be happy that the Senators are listening to you, he said, and that we will finally be able to re-organise the Pentagon.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">But it was not until decades later, in a chance meeting aboard a transatlantic flight, that he told me why he was so little agitated by the subtle racial tensions of the Reagan years. As a battalion commander in Vietnam, he was recruited on a number of occasions by more senior officers to avert racial tensions among the troops, to avoid violence not with fists or even handguns but with fragmentation grenades or even M.16s.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">For him, that was the end result of McNamara&#8217;s political science: a war not only endless but nonsensical, in which the same village might be flooded with economic aid, propagandised by a provincial team, bombed with napalm to destruction and then rebuilt. Hence his personal approval of Col. Warden&#8217;s &#8220;Instant Thunder&#8221; plan for the 1991 Iraq war: bomb every military target day after day to break up Iraq&#8217;s logistics, knock out bases and destroy as many armoured vehicles as possible. Then launch an all-out armoured offensive, force Saddam Hussein&#8217;s surrender and retreat from Kuwait — and bring the troops back home.</p>
<p>As a result of the 1987 Defense Reorganization Act, Powell was the first Chairman of the Joint Chief of Staff who was in the actual chain of command. And although he was too tactful to order the Army and Marine field commanders about as the subordinates they were, when the Marines started nibbling at Kuwait before the two weeks of bombing was done, he made sure that it was no more than a photo-op. Ignoring the majority view in Washington that air power always disappoints (because it did in Vietnam) he understood that it was best to hollow out an enemy before moving the tanks forward. That was the Powell &#8220;first&#8221; that really matters: not that he was the first black US military chief, but the first and so far only US military chief since 1945 to win a war.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/07/americas-failed-machiavelli/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/07/americas-failed-machiavelli/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/GettyImages-1233737239-e1625131359697-1.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/07/americas-failed-machiavelli/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">More from this author</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/07/americas-failed-machiavelli/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>America&#039;s failed Machiavelli</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/07/americas-failed-machiavelli/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Edward Luttwak</a></p></div></a></div>
<p>The last thing that Powell thought would happen was the disastrous repudiation two decades later of all that was learned in Vietnam and all that was demonstrated in the 1991 war: that American military power can destroy high-contrast targets anywhere and can defeat enemies that assemble in conveniently targetable mass formations — but cannot defeat insurgents. As Powell well knew, the “counterinsurgency warfare” peddled by generals with PhDs was never more than military malpractice, as Afghanistan 2021 showed yet again.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Over the past week, every obituary of Powell has interrupted its praise to condemn his tenure as Secretary of State (another first for a black man that Powell himself hardly celebrated) because it was his approval that made the 2003 invasion of Iraq politically feasible.</p>
<p>As usual, the media criticises the intelligence malfeasance that trapped Powell — the failure to recognise that Saddam was only pretending to be developing nuclear weapons — as opposed to the inability of the over-staffed, over-funded intelligence community to recognise that if Saddam Hussein and his regime were removed, what would ensue was not &#8220;democracy&#8221; but a Hobbesian war of all against all as different factions killed each other. (When I testified accordingly before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee just before the war, the pro-war witness call me a &#8220;racist&#8221; who denied that Iraqis could sustain a democracy, just as the Germans and Japanese did after 1945&#8230;)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Then there was the fact that an Iraq in civil war would not be able to resist Iran. So there were ultimately two choices: stay out of Iraq, or convert the US Army into a 700,000-strong Mesopotamian constabulary forever. When Army Chief of Staff Shinseki said exactly that in a Congressional Hearing, he received zero support from the Intelligence Community, so Rumsfeld &amp; Co ridiculed him with impunity for something he emphatically did not say — that 700,000 American soldiers were necessary to defeat the Iraqi Army — and denied him the customary extra year.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/05/the-phoney-war-between-israel-and-hamas/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/05/the-phoney-war-between-israel-and-hamas/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/sunsetwar.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/05/the-phoney-war-between-israel-and-hamas/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">More from this author</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/05/the-phoney-war-between-israel-and-hamas/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>The phoney war between Israel and Hamas</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/05/the-phoney-war-between-israel-and-hamas/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Edward Luttwak</a></p></div></a></div>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">That was Colin Powell&#8217;s world on the eve of the 2003 war that would tarnish his reputation. As a Secretary of State, he could not apply the Powell doctrine to flood Iraq with troops. What he should have done — as he was the first to recognise in the aftermath — was to give a simple choice to Bush: Mr President, either give up the dream of a US-made democracy in Iraq or send in 700,000 troops, which cannot be done.</p>
<p>If the intelligence community had realised and transmitted what was happening in Iraq, Powell could have calmed the war fever with a phone call. Without that support, Powell couldn’t turn harshly against Bush, who was not only the President but also in effect a family friend, from the days of his father&#8217;s vice-presidency.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">As it was, the second Iraqi war became an agony for him that never actually ended — very poor recompense for a life well-lived from the time that he packed boxes in a Bronx shop as a teenager. Characteristically, Powell kept in touch with the fatherly owner (who urged him to study on at all costs) and then with his sons, all through the years.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">I only met Powell now and again over years, and it was only early on, and then in 2003, that those meetings were charged with much significance. But his death is still a real blow. I miss him already.</p>
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					<title>Political posturing won&#8217;t save Israel</title>
					<link>https://stage.unherd.com/2021/05/everyone-loses-in-israels-new-war/?edition=us</link>
											<comments>https://stage.unherd.com/2021/05/everyone-loses-in-israels-new-war/?edition=us#comments</comments>
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					<dc:creator>
						<![CDATA[Giles Fraser]]>
					</dc:creator>
					<unherd:creator_img>https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/giles.jpeg?w=96</unherd:creator_img>
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							<![CDATA[Mohammed Hamoud/Getty]]>
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						<unherd:twitter_bio>
							<![CDATA[<p><strong>Giles Fraser</strong> is a journalist, broadcaster and Vicar of St Anne&#8217;s, Kew.</p>
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						</unherd:twitter_bio>
						<unherd:twitter_handle>giles_fraser</unherd:twitter_handle>
															<unherd:author_bio>
						<![CDATA[ is a journalist, broadcaster and Vicar of St Anne's, Kew.]]>
					</unherd:author_bio>
										<pubDate>Sat, 15 May 2021 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
					<updated>Sat, 15 May 2021 00:00:00 +0000</updated>
							<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Benjamin Netanyahu]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Gaza]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gulf War]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
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								<![CDATA[There is something hateful about politicising such a complex conflict]]>
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								<![CDATA[<p>My wife was 11 when the first gulf war started in 1991. Saddam Hussein warned that he would “burn half of Israel”. And on the night that coalition forces invaded Iraq, he launched salvos of Scud missiles into Israel, mostly aimed at the greater Tel Aviv region where she lived.</p>
<p>She still feels sick at the smell of those rubber gas masks. She remembers decorating her gas mask box with colourful stickers, the natural reaction of a child to normalise the horrific. She remembers the fear of chemical weapons, sealing up the windows with plastic sheeting and keeping wet towels under the door, she remembers her class constantly practising how best to get into the school’s air raid shelter as fast as possible. She remembers being huddled round the radio listening out for news. She remembers having to give the dog a Valium as the sirens sounded.</p>
<p>How little has changed.</p>
<p>From my mother-in-law’s house, the nearest air raid shelter is in a small park about 500 yards away, beside the children’s swings. But when the sirens sound, it may already be too late to make it over there. The house is old; it doesn’t have a specially designed safe room. So she stands in the corridor between the loo and the bedroom. That is where the walls are the thickest. The dog wails and she waits.</p>
<p>Qassam rockets have no guidance system. They fall where they will. Hundreds were fired in her general direction yesterday. Most were intercepted. Some not. One of them fell less than a mile away, in Giv’atayim, next to her partner’s flat – twenty kilograms of hate and frustration flung from one world to another.</p>
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<p>Luckily, her son and grandchildren do live in a house with a reinforced strong room. She phones to see if they are OK. The children are terrified but safe. When they were younger, these moments were explained to the little ones as a drill, a kind of game. Hide and seek. But that will no longer wash. Just as it is for my wife, the experience will stay with them forever.</p>
<p>Perhaps you are thinking, but what about the children of Gaza. And you would be right to do so. When I visited Gaza in 2004, someone fired a machine gun at me and a group of Palestinian children as we went to visit the homes that the IDF had destroyed close by the Egyptian border. Earlier in the day we were playing football, them lauding their hero: “Zidane, he is arabi.” These children would have an hour of anger management classes before school, throwing balls against a wall to express their frustration, to get it all out so that they could concentrate on their lessons. I expect some of them will have been recruited by Hamas and may now be lining up rockets, pointing them towards Israel. Some of them may well be dead. Palestinian health officials have reported 13 children dead in the last few days.</p>
<p>More children have died in Gaza than Israel. But it’s not a competition. And one of the ugliest reactions to the current tragedy is the instinct to play up the sufferings of one group and to minimise those of another, so as to make a political point. But the taking sides instinct is too great for many to resist. So to the idea that because of the overwhelming military superiority of the Israelis, they are necessarily and always the aggressors and Palestinians simply the victims.</p>
<p>David Baddiel makes the important point in his recent book <em>Jews Don’t Count</em> that because of the perception that Jews are wealthier or more powerful – and we know the poisonous history of that idea – they are considered by some to be somehow less deserving of concern. The Nazis smashed down the doors of both wealthy and poorer Jews, leading them off to be murdered. Being middle class was no protection against genocide. And it is no protection against rockets falling from the sky either.</p>
<p>When I went to Gaza all those years ago, I too thought the situation reasonably clear cut. I would lie in bed in Gaza City and listen to Israeli drones buzzing about overhead. Gaza felt like a one massive prison camp, locked into poverty and despair.</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/02/jewish-privilege-is-a-myth/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/02/jewish-privilege-is-a-myth/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/EdGettyImages-1068938858.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/02/jewish-privilege-is-a-myth/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">Suggested reading</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/02/jewish-privilege-is-a-myth/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>Jewish privilege is a myth</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2021/02/jewish-privilege-is-a-myth/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Giles Fraser</a></p></div></a></div>
<p>Seventy miles up the coast, and in sharp contrast, Tel Aviv feels a little bit like Barcelona. It’s got great restaurants, million-dollar beachfront penthouses, beautiful tanned women. Yes, it has a darker side too. And there is much poverty in Tel Aviv also. But its little wonder that people are signing up to go there for a holiday now Israel is on the Covid Green list. It’s a fabulous city.</p>
<p>But it is also a problematic one because this striking contrast can triage our sympathies in profoundly unhelpful ways. When I was on the Left, I felt an instinctive default solidarity with whoever I perceived to be less powerful in any given situation. And, insofar as it goes, I don’t think there is anything wrong with that. But this same take can also be accompanied by an instinctive hostility to those who are considered to be the more powerful within any given situation. And that is when things start to get tricky. For this kind of power analysis can be used as a convenient shorthand for finding your way around political antagonisms about which one knows very little. Find the weaker party, be on their side. Find the stronger, oppose them. Put like that, it is obvious rubbish. Power clearly does not track right and wrong. But embarrassingly, that is how I used to think.</p>
<p>Moreover, if you think Palestine and Israel represent some sort of David and Goliath respectively, then what about Israel vs. Iran/Syria/Lebanon, a tiny democratic state set within a vast sea of enemies? So who is the big bully now?</p>
<div class="ref-ar"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2020/09/can-bad-men-do-good-things/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2020/09/can-bad-men-do-good-things/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><img decoding="async" src="https://stage.unherd.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/GettyImages-1272678399-e1600244872919.jpg?w=300" /></a><div class="content"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2020/09/can-bad-men-do-good-things/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span class="meta">Suggested reading</span></a><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2020/09/can-bad-men-do-good-things/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><h5>Can bad men do good things?</h5></a><p class="author"><a href="https://stage.unherd.com/2020/09/can-bad-men-do-good-things/?edition=us&#038;ref=refinnar" class="text-decoration-none border-0"><span>By</span> Stephen Pollard</a></p></div></a></div>
<p>So I don’t have my own obvious fix for the Israel/Palestine. I am a Zionist because I believe in the right of the Jews to a homeland of their own. And that goes with a right to defend themselves. I also believe that Palestinians deserve the same, which is why I believe in two states for two peoples. I may not know how best to achieve what most others want too. But this much I do know: frightened children look very much the same, wherever they come from. And there is something especially hateful about taking the suffering of some and using it as justification for the suffering others.</p>
<p>In such a situation, the much derided “thoughts and prayers” are probably a much more helpful and sophisticated response than so many of our prêt-a-porter political takes rolled out as instant answers. Not that religion is an innocent party in all of this. Not a bit. Nonetheless, prayer is able to hold even adversaries in a kind of loving attention, while refusing to be sucked into the sort of boo-hurrah politics into which our political instincts can all too easily descend. The Psalmist had it right, all those millennia ago: pray for the peace of Jerusalem.</p>
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